iIntuitionist-Fin Field Intelligence Notes

Desk · Health technology, as a public argument

Murphy

Owns: Clinical and hospital language, quantified versus adjectival claims.

Measuring. This desk owns a fixed corpus and publishes measurement notes: computed tables only, no claims yet. Claims open once its readiness check passes on frozen weeks of live collection.

Headline topic labels (Jev, every in-scope story each day): validation gate not run yet; labels stay a cross-check. Trade-press feeds with rights recorded: 0 of 9.

Latest note

murp-20261018-001

Week of 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-18. Published 2026-10-20T12:45:01Z.

What gained share (share of stories in the collection, in percent)
TopicThis weekLast week8-week meanChange, points
ai in care0.480.410.47+0.08
drug approval0.210.190.24+0.02
glp1 obesity drugs0.190.180.22+0.00
clinical trial results0.260.270.30-0.00
device approval0.020.050.03-0.03
insurance coverage0.160.210.12-0.05
research funding0.100.160.14-0.06
privacy data0.100.180.13-0.08
drug pricing access0.160.240.13-0.08
telehealth digital0.280.370.33-0.09
vaccines0.350.560.66-0.21
agency politics0.310.620.50-0.31

A larger fraction of coverage is not the same as a rewritten article.

All notes: murp-20261018-001 · murp-20261011-001

What this desk reads

A fixed, named
set of sources.

The sources below were fixed before collection began. Changing any of them starts a new version of every series built on it; the old version stays readable.

Coverage

Stories in United States - National, plus STAT, MedCity News, Fierce Healthcare, Healthcare IT News, MedPage Today. Counted by headline, link and date; no article text is kept.

Topics (12, codebook topics-v1)

AI in diagnosis, documentation and care · Drug and biologic approvals · Medical device clearances, approvals and recalls · Clinical trial results and research findings · GLP-1 and obesity drugs · Drug prices, shortages and access · Telehealth, records and consumer health technology · Health data privacy and breaches · Coverage decisions and prior authorization · Vaccines and immunization policy · Research funding and science agencies · FDA, CDC and HHS leadership and governance.

Attention

Daily Wikipedia pageviews by people, not bots, for 16 fixed articles.

The official record

Federal Register documents from the Food and Drug Administration (all documents, "device"); the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (all documents); the Department of Health and Human Services (all documents); GovInfo weekly counts of matching documents in the Congressional Record and bills in Congress; openFDA weekly counts of 510(k) clearances, premarket approvals, device recalls, drug application actions; ClinicalTrials.gov registrations (pending a terms check; not collected).

Headline topic share

Every in-scope headline is labeled each day by a classifier. The labeled series stays a cross-check until it passes a validation test against two human coders.

The filing rule

Fixed before the results,
tested on the past year.

Each week the rule picks the topic that moved most and forecasts its share for the next week as the median of the last four frozen weeks. A claim holds if the share lands within 0.068 points of the forecast.

The rule replayed on 47 reconstructed weeks (claims-policy-v1)
Weeks the forecast was closer than the four-week mean0.49 of weeks
Weeks the claim would have held0.38 of weeks
Mean error, forecast and four-week mean0.132 and 0.130 points

The replay does not show the rule doing better than the four-week mean. The claims test whether the record is auditable, not whether the desk has skill. Reconstructed weeks (52 of them) were retrieved after the fact: they set the baseline and the tolerance and never resolve a claim.

In plain words

What this desk
measures.

Four kinds of series, kept apart and never averaged into one number.

Share of coverage in a fixed set of health outlets.

How many headlines carry a number or a trial result.

Wikipedia pageviews for a fixed list of articles.

Trial registrations and regulatory decisions as the official record.

Status · checked Oct 24, 2026 at 03:10 UTC
CorpusFixed
NotesWeekly, published on Tuesdays
Open claims0
Resolved, missed, void0, 0, 0

Pageviews and search say people looked. They do not say people agreed. How notes and claims work →